Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.100244 0.118934 0.139869 0.165017 0.194365 0.227493 0.267681
2025-01-26 0.072638 0.097026 0.127438 0.167973 0.220391 0.285678 0.372926
2025-02-02 0.056264 0.082610 0.118375 0.170086 0.242481 0.339692 0.479471
2025-02-09 0.045093 0.071720 0.110539 0.170602 0.260375 0.388557 0.584130
2025-02-16 0.037633 0.064198 0.105411 0.173024 0.279911 0.440713 0.698664
2025-02-23 0.032905 0.059748 0.103751 0.179765 0.305972 0.504653 0.837464
2025-03-02 0.027056 0.052183 0.095615 0.174433 0.311534 0.536807 0.929814
2025-03-09 0.023279 0.047456 0.091322 0.174579 0.325626 0.583553 1.050185
2025-03-16 0.019843 0.042668 0.086047 0.171973 0.334204 0.621460 1.159188
2025-03-23 0.017824 0.040243 0.084693 0.176218 0.355351 0.683032 1.315441
2025-03-30 0.015500 0.036741 0.080659 0.174617 0.365127 0.724902 1.440210
2025-04-06 0.013264 0.032989 0.075498 0.169922 0.368098 0.754126 1.544067
2025-04-13 0.011267 0.029437 0.070278 0.164516 0.369310 0.780835 1.647587
2025-04-20 0.010233 0.027963 0.069368 0.168249 0.389972 0.848103 1.838184
2025-04-27 0.009233 0.026369 0.067922 0.170550 0.407804 0.911465 2.027394
2025-05-04 0.008257 0.024639 0.065865 0.171110 0.421794 0.968192 2.208499
2025-05-11 0.007506 0.023357 0.064683 0.173549 0.440286 1.036310 2.420412
2025-05-18 0.007048 0.022802 0.065238 0.180311 0.469664 1.131090 2.699295
2025-05-25 0.006105 0.020635 0.061240 0.174964 0.469303 1.159321 2.833353
2025-06-01 0.005504 0.019373 0.059459 0.175111 0.482433 1.219622 3.045790
2025-06-08 0.004876 0.017886 0.056802 0.172498 0.488219 1.263246 3.223726
2025-06-15 0.004547 0.017304 0.056645 0.176755 0.512308 1.352926 3.518736
2025-06-22 0.004074 0.016128 0.054532 0.175150 0.520620 1.404898 3.727803